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2011 Week 24 Population Immigration & Citizenship Clippings WE 18/6/2011

Posted by Dicko (Members) at Jun 22 2011, 01:26 AM. One comment

Geoff Dickinson

Assorted News Items

Posted by demografix (Admins) at Apr 14 2011, 01:37 PM. 0 comments

General News


Abs have updated their November population page to have trend that now is down
Ok abs worked on it 12.1.11. Strange they would leave it this long to update. Maybe the AG had a little word?


Other news following the sniff of a story

Participation rates start their decline.


Underemployment is your bag from here on in.


Participation rates and unemployment, go girl


Ageing and Health costs as the population growth stalls.

Edited by pauk, Today, 12:34 AM.

Declining populations, home planet. Good


2021, a diary note.....

Posted by pauk (Members) at Apr 12 2011, 05:11 PM. 0 comments

In summer 2021, I—admittedly a bored diplomat—find myself sequestered for several weeks in Perth (Australia). A new outbreak of bird flu, despite the rapid quarantines put in place, has spread and closed down most major airports. I am trying to get back to Europe
for my annual leave, but most connections have been cut. To while away the time, I am thinking back on world events.
The current international scene holds an uncanny resemblance to a computer game called “Peace Hero” I used to play with my son years ago. Unlike most games, this one was constructed so you earned points for finding ways to cooperate with fellow contestants, all of whom assumed roles of major countries or international organizations. The world was confronted, for example, with a pandemic— not unlike the present—and the challenge
was to find which countries could provide emergency vaccines. The game actually prompted you to construct a UN Security Council resolution that would quickly be voted into action. The game was probably never a best seller, but it had intrigued me, particularly how the players perverted its intended objective.
It was as if human nature was doomed: the competitive spirit took over even though the rewards were greatest for cooperation. In one energy scenario, the contestants ended up competing over access to oil. This was despite the fact that they could opt for technological breakthroughs on alternatives and reap many more rewards. My son—who was a
bit of a rebellious teenager at the time—was particularly competitive. He went out of his way not to cooperate with me.
Once the competitive juices flowed, confrontation was sure to follow. Even I had to admit that my blood would boil at times. Why couldn’t my son just accept the rules laid down in the game? They were for everyone’s good. A couple times, when he was playing the role of the BRIC, I thought I had him over a barrel. China’s economy took a hit while the West’s had finally recovered. Lo and behold, though, my son became more hostile. He said China was of no mind to be deferent given past wrongs.
I suppose he had a good case looking back on it. Nationalism has made a big comeback in
the past decade. What was all that stuff we used to talk about—multilateralism, doctors without borders, the new Internet society that would bring us all together? A lot had been swept aside in the ten years since the Great Recession. The West resented the new powers as their economies continued to grow while even the US has struggled. We saw in Afghanistan where China actually reaped major economic benefits from the Allies’ efforts to stabilize the country. Much of Afghanistan’s mineral wealth was exploited by the Chinese, not Western firms. Such economic feats became a contentious political issue in America and led to growing US- China frictions. I am reminded a little of how the British and French felt as German power rose in the years before the First World War. Perception is a lot in these situations. It was not as if China was at all equal to the US, but Americans grew increasingly resentful of an ungrateful China not mindful of all the “public goods” which the US had provided in the world, including to help China rise.
For their part, the new powers were dismissive of what they saw as an antiquated international system no longer possessing any legitimacy—a system that did
not protect them from the increasing environmental and resource problems. Food prices have soared, way beyond the 2008 “spikes.” Governments—including the new rising powers—have struggled to keep supplies adequate and prices reasonable for their publics. A string of extreme weather events has added to their woes. Asian cities are particularly vulnerable to the huge tidal surges which have accompanied some of the recent cyclones. No Kyoto follow- on climate change agreement was reached in 2012. The charges and countercharges proliferated with groups hardening around the US on one side and China-India-Brazil and most of the developing world on the other. The small island states whose very existence is really threatened were left out and ignored. This alone was probably enough to sour the international atmosphere. It is no exaggeration to say we are almost at the point of daggers drawn; it would only take a minor incident to trigger a major conflict. I wonder how the game will go . . .


Seems they may have know more about Egypt than we knew they knew.......lol


Can Japan's spirited youth save their ageing nation

Posted by pauk (Members) at Apr 12 2011, 05:08 PM. 0 comments

Can Japan's spirited youth save their ageing nation


The erosion of traditions is spurring this growing minority to invest their talents elsewhere
By Linda Sieg, ReutersPublished: 00:00 February 18, 2011Reader comments (0)

Image Credit: Gulf News
A graduate of the prestigious University of Tokyo's economics department, Keishiro Kurabayashi could have joined a blue-chip firm and begun climbing the corporate ladder. Instead, he interned at DeNA, then a fledgling start-up and now a successful social networking and mobile gaming firm.
"I thought it was like a rule — I would graduate from Tokyo University, enter a foreign consulting firm and after years of study might be ready to start my own firm," the 29-year-old said.
"The people at DeNA were really smart, but they weren't caught up with rules, and that was fun. That was a big turning point for me," said Kurabayashi, who now runs his own firm.
Kurabayashi is one of Japan's "20-something" generation: many born during a heady "bubble economy" they can't recall, coming of age in an era of sliding national status and eyeing retirement when, many predict, the country's economic sun will have set.
The fracturing of the post-Second World War system that propelled Japan's economy to the number two global spot — a status now lost to China — has pushed many of his cohorts to seek security by trying to cling to what remains. But for many others, the uncertainty itself is giving birth to a do-it-yourself (DIY) mindset that could generate welcome dynamism.
"If we expect the country to take care of us, we may end up not being able to make a living," says Megumi Kawashima, 27, a website designer and one of Japan's legions of "otaku" fans of comics and video games. "We should be sensible enough to know we need to take care of ourselves," added Kawashima, who creates manga comics — illustrated in a distinctive Japanese style and popular around the world — under the pen name K Ayuhara. For now, these DIY youth appear to be a minority, whose voice has been drowned out by a drumbeat of reports about Japanese youth's generally passive response to a dismal future. But experts say their ranks will grow as traditional corporate and social systems crumble further.

Developed nations face 'chronic problem' from ageing population

Posted by pauk (Members) at Apr 12 2011, 05:06 PM. 0 comments


Carlos Slim: Developed nations face 'chronic problem' from ageing population

The world’s richest man, Carlos Slim, has warned developed nations are facing a 'chronic problem' from ageing populations and rising welfare costs.
By Harriet Alexander, Mexico City 10:00PM GMT 19 Feb 2011

The Mexican businessman, speaking in an interview with The Sunday Telegraph, said there is “neither the recognition of the problem nor the solution” and questioned whether countries, such as the UK, France, Germany and the USA, had the “political capacity” to make the necessary changes.


Students flee indifferent country

Posted by demografix (Admins) at Feb 4 2011, 07:33 PM. 0 comments

Students flee indifferent country
Andrew Jakubowicz From: The Australian February 02, 2011 12:00AM


WHILE new figures from Australian Education International show last year was a bumper year for international student contributions to the Australian economy, there are clear indications the pot has come rapidly off the boil.

World Forum: Economies face big risks

Posted by demografix (Admins) at Jan 29 2011, 04:48 PM. 0 comments


World Forum: Economies face big risks
Thursday, 13th January 2011
WORLD governments have been drained of resources after the financial crisis and are poorly-equipped to handle 21st-century global risks, a new study reported yesterday.
Governments are less able to tackle emerging global risks such as shortages of natural resources, an ageing world population and fragile states dominated by illegal activity. But the macroeconomic trends that precipitated the credit crunch are still in evidence, the World Economic Forum Global Risks 2011 report said.
Huge fiscal imbalances between indebted developed states and debt-free developing economies leave countries vulnerable to excessive and destabilising capital flows, asset price collapses and volatile currencies.
These risks are “coming together in a particularly dangerous cocktail,” said World Economic Forum managing director Robert Greenhill.
Most advanced countries are running a fiscally unsustainable position, Daniel Hofman, group chief economist at Zurich Financial Services, said.
Public debt in countries such as the US, Ireland, Belgium and Italy is now more than 90 per cent of GDP, a level at which it puts a one per cent drag on growth.
Ageing populations, as much a threat to China and Brazil as developed countries, will push states far further into debt. Age-related liabilities are estimated to average 440 per cent of GDP in developed countries – or ten times the average cost of the financial crisis.
Shortages of vital resources such as food, water and oil will push price volatility on key commodities to new highs, said John Drzik, chief executive of consultancy Oliver Wyman.
“We are experiencing a new age of commodity price volatility and many commodities are at all-time price highs,” he said.
Volatility has risen dramatically since 2005 and is set to continue as supplies of corn, wheat, oil and metals struggle to meet demand. But Drzik also blamed financial markets for the problem. “Financial speculators will be an unpredictable source of demand, creating even more volatility in prices,” he said.
Growing economic disparity both between and within countries is making it harder for governments to tackle crises, while global governance structures are failing to manage disparate national interests.
Weaknesses left in the global economy from the financial crisis, such as high levels of developed country debt, are creating unsustainable imbalances such as currency and inflationary pressures between countries.
Fragile states supporting illicit trade, organised crime and corruption pose a particular risk to global stability. The deterioration in countries such as Afghanistan undermines rule of law and exacerbates poverty, while illicit trade was estimated to be an $1.3 trillion (£835bn) industry in 2009.
A growing world population is putting unsustainable pressure on resources. Demand for food, water and energy is predicted to rise by 30-50 per cent by 2030. Shortages may increase commodity price volatility and could spark social unrest, political instability and environmental damage.
The report tips cyber-security; demographic challenges from ageing populations; resource security; a backlash against globalisation and renewed threat from weapons of mass destruction as five areas that may have severe and under-appreciated consequences.

Main reforms to Spanish state pensions

Posted by pauk (Members) at Jan 29 2011, 04:32 PM. 0 comments


Main reforms to Spanish state pensions

- Retirement age raised to 67

- Those with 38.5 active years employment may retire at 65

- Internships will count as years in active employment

- Those now aged 47 will be first to retire at 67

The Spanish Government, unions and employers' organisations reached an agreement on Thursday morning over the latest plans to reform the state pensions system. The cabinet is due to approve the reforms on Friday, measures they hope will ease pressure on the country from financial markets.

The agreement includes raising the retirement age to 67, although those who spend 38.5 years in taxable employment will be eligible to retire at the age of 65 on a full pension.

Under normal circumstances, those currently aged 47 will be the first to retire at 67.

While the reforms will have no effect on the budget before 2015, they mark a further step as the government tries to restructure an economy with the highest unemployment rate in the euro zone and weak growth prospects.

Analysts say Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero needs to show investors the government is cont...

China's progress is to be lauded, not feared

Posted by pauk (Members) at Jan 29 2011, 04:31 PM. 0 comments


China's progress is to be lauded, not feared

The emerging superpower is not the threat we perceive it to be, says Jeremy Warner.
China's progress is to be lauded, not feared; Barack Obama delivers his State of the Union Address; AFP
Barack Obama delivers his State of the Union Address Photo: AFP
By Jeremy Warner 8:48AM GMT 28 Jan 2011

China, China, China. Seemingly everything in the economically challenged West has come to be seen through the prism of this aspiring superpower. At one and the same time a marvel and a perceived threat, the rise of the East has become an anxiety bordering on obsession.

For President Barack Obama, it this week prompted a “Sputnik moment”, the point at which America is aroused from its self-inflicted misery to engage in the modern-day equivalent of the Cold War space race.

No one doubts the urgent need in advanced economies to find new growth strategies, or the impressively focused progress being made by the world’s most populous nation – but are we not starting to get the supposed threat to our way of lives a little out of proportion?

For me, the moment of epiphany came while watching a TV news report by the BBC’s arts editor, Will Gompertz, on Black Swan, the new movie about striving for perfection in the world of ballet. Towards the end of his piece, Gompertz unexpectedly switched his attentions from the film to a ballet studio somewhere in China, where a sweet-looking group of little girls in tutus were going through their pirouettes.

The message was unmistakable. Be afraid, be very afraid, Gompertz appeared to be saying, for the Chinese are about to take over the world of ballet as they will everything else.


Welcome to the new world order

Posted by pauk (Members) at Jan 29 2011, 04:30 PM. 0 comments


Welcome to the new world order

* Michael Stutchbury, Economics editor, Davos
* From: The Australian
* January 29, 2011 12:00AM

AS the world economy emerges from the financial crisis, a startling new phase of globalisation is being revealed.

For a generation, freeing up trade and capital flows around the world has been driven by the rich nations, led by the US. Having been hit hardest by the crisis, however, these developed nations are now struggling to reconstruct their economic growth models.

They are burdened by unprecedented peacetime debts, being forced to wind back unaffordable social entitlement systems and are underprepared for the costs of their ageing populations.

The US is printing money to generate a lower dollar and to revive job growth; Europe is gripped by a sovereign debt crisis and battling to save the euro; Britain has been forced into its most savage austerity since World War II; and Japan yesterday suffered a sovereign credit downgrade.

As the rich world struggles, globalisation now is being powered by the big emerging market economies, led by China and India and extending to Indonesia, Brazil and others. Emerging market globalisation is even bypassing the rich world.]


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