| Day 3 | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: Sep 5 2011, 06:22 PM (1,943 Views) | |
| Chopperini | Sep 5 2011, 08:14 PM Post #11 |
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3rd rate treasure hunter
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Ain't that kind of a gamble? 'specially if we got substantial suspicions, not ta mention if good reports come in as ya say. Sounds to me like bettin' on protective powers workin' (and bein' useful the next day), against the chance that we'll catch us a dirtbag. I guess we gotta wait and see, an' I gotta consider the possible scenarios. |
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| Chopperini | Sep 5 2011, 08:19 PM Post #12 |
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3rd rate treasure hunter
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... not the answer I was expectin', I admit. Who would ya have used it on? |
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| Johnny | Sep 5 2011, 08:24 PM Post #13 |
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3rd rate treasure hunter
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Only three reports missing. One that should confirm the stolen item and provide an alternative use of it. |
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| Ryuma | Sep 5 2011, 08:29 PM Post #14 |
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3rd rate treasure hunter
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I would have used it on Kailfa. |
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| Johnny | Sep 5 2011, 08:40 PM Post #15 |
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3rd rate treasure hunter
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Since I mentioned mylo first, I will comment on it. I think it's either 3 or 4 mafia. Any other number seems unlikely. If it's 4 we are in lylo. If it's three, we are in mylo if mafia gets the gun tonight but also if a townie shoots another townie. Considering both options, I prefer a lynch today but it's really important to get a mafia this time. |
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| Iceburg | Sep 5 2011, 09:43 PM Post #16 |
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3rd rate treasure hunter
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Nmaa...I owe you Mr. Moria. I think you are misunderstanding me, Chopperini. No Lynch is a viable option for mylo. I never said we were in mylo, however. I said that we need to figure out how many mafia we're willing to believe exist. |
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| Iceburg | Sep 5 2011, 09:56 PM Post #17 |
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3rd rate treasure hunter
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Nmaa...in our current configuration, we have nine players. If we have three mafia, it means we're in a mylo-like situation. Should we decided on a No-Lynch, town can suffer up to two deaths in the night and still outnumber the mafia. Making the next day a lylo-like situation. If we have four mafia and we No-Lynch, our fate would be solely on powers. If the mafia guesses right, and we guess wrong, then the game would be over. However, a problem arises when 'townies' start shooting townies. There have been two deaths each night. If people were ready to lynch Kalifa, then it means that they accept the idea that the mafia has access to the gun as well. This makes terms like mylo and lylo mostly invalid. That means, if there are four mafia, that even if we get it right today, if two townies die in the night, we still lose. |
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| Iceburg | Sep 5 2011, 10:48 PM Post #18 |
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3rd rate treasure hunter
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[Triple posting, because no one else wants to.] We win by minimizing the mafia's chances. What I'm still trying to figure out, is the risk of assuming the wrong number. Automatically assuming that the townie deficit is larger would mean that a lynch is necessary if we want to have any chance of seeing tomorrow. If we're dealing with less, we would be putting the game on the line, when we could wait for much more favorable conditions. Potentially, we can turn this game around in our favor in a single night by shooting a mafia and saving a townie. Even with a mislynch, we still get to see Day four, with a lot more information. That's only if we have the best night ever. The fact that all of this is possible, makes my head hurt. But I digress. I would like a lynch today. We have a whole lot of time and information. As long as we lynch right, we'll make it very hard for the mafia to end the game tonight. Even if there's only three, I don't want to leave our fates up to the night. I'd rather put it in our hands, with our votes. As for last night: I didn't visit anyone. For a very simple reason. |
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| Chopperini | Sep 5 2011, 11:46 PM Post #19 |
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3rd rate treasure hunter
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I see. I took yer post to assume mylo cause Johnny did too. But it don't matter, I was speakin' about that theoretical situation as well. My point, as ya concluded later yourself, is that leavin' things up to our luck at night is a gamble, as opposed to makin' a decision durin' the day based on what we know. 3 or 4 sounds reasonable to me... though since there was originally 2 guns in the mix along with 2 protective roles (that we know of) and a few disruptive roles, anythin' is possible. Ain't no way to be sure though, an' I prefer a lynch too. Do you alls agree now that people is dyin' with their items? Because I had a little moment of panic when I forgot that assumption momentarily, which was what if that townie suit makes scum flip town, too? The description ain't mentioned nothin' about that. Anybody got it today? But I figures that don't make any sense at all if yer item is revealed and destroyed when ya die. |
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| Chopperini | Sep 5 2011, 11:48 PM Post #20 |
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3rd rate treasure hunter
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Double post cause no matter what happens, I want me an item tonight. We're waitin' on Kalifa and Spacey, right? Iceburg, any reason ta leave yer item status as semi-mysterious? |
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7:52 PM Jul 10