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Romney could lose Mississippi and Alabama primaries and maintain delegate edge
Topic Started: Mar 13 2012, 04:46 AM (217 Views)
Max
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Rick Santorum scored what his campaign trumpeted as a "landslide" victory in Kansas's Republican presidential primary on Saturday, and he's expected to do well in Tuesday's Deep South contests in Mississippi and Alabama.

But while Santorum bested Mitt Romney by more than 30 points in Kansas, the fight for the Republican nomination is not about winning the popular vote. From here on out, it's all about delegate math-and Romney continues to maintain a major edge over his rivals.

While Santorum won 33 of Kansas's 40 delegates at stake on Saturday, Romney kept pace. He racked up 32 delegates from low-key contests in Wyoming and in the territories of Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands and the Virgin Islands. And despite his poor showing in the state, Romney scored 7 delegates out of Kansas. All told, the former Massachusetts governor ended the weekend with 39 new delegates, compared to Santorum's 36.

On Tuesday, 116 delegates are up for grabs-including 49 in Alabama, 38 in Mississippi, 20 in Hawaii and 9 in American Samoa. But none of the states are "winner take all"-which means there is little opportunity for Santorum or Gingrich to make big gains on Romney as long as the front-runner finishes a close second or third place.

According to a tally by the Associated Press, Romney currently has more than twice as many delegates as Santorum-454 vs. 217. Newt Gingrich has just 107 delegates, while Ron Paul has 47 delegates. To win the nomination, a candidate has to win 1,144 delegates.

Last week, a Romney campaign adviser argued that it would take "an act of God" for Santorum or Gingrich to match the former Massachusetts governor in the race for delegates. By their calculation, Romney needs to win 48 percent of the remaining delegates in the race to win the nomination, whereas Santorum would have to win 65 percent of delegates and Newt Gingrich 70 percent.

In a campaign stop Sunday, Santorum dismissed that talk-insisting he still has a viable shot to best Romney for the nomination.

"You have Gov. Romney now saying, 'Oh this race is over that mathematically it can't work," Santorum declared, per NBC News. "When we have our nominee going out there and trying to sell the American public to vote for him because of mathematics, we are in very, very tough shape. This isn't about math. This is about vision, it's about leadership."

More at:SOURCE:YahooNews/the Ticket

I don't think it's mathematically over yet, but Romney seems to have a firm lead.

And what about GOP voters who don't want either Romney or Santorum?
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LarryOldtimer
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Still could end up with a "brokered" convention. Lots of leeway for that to happen. Might be the best thing which could happen for Republicans in general.
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Max
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I think a brokered convention would be a good thing. Might even get some real compromise out of it.
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