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RR Prediction Game: Birmingham City at Reading; Wednesday 22 April 2015 20:00
Topic Started: 19 Apr 2015, 02:38 PM (1,863 Views)
daib0
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Gwent Royal
23 Apr 2015, 09:33 PM
I thought I was being pessimistic predicting a draw...not pessimistic enough clearly!
I thought I was pessimistic in only predicting a win by 1 goal to nil :D
Royals Rendezvous - a specialist and friendly Reading FC fan forum
Cello man... VIDEO https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yEVmGOEMJLE&t=12s Please share !
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Owlish52
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RR Foreign Legion - Across the Pond - View from Texas
Top scorer was Bahamoth, with 8 points (Entry + Half-time + Bonus), with RoyalPITA and Darlington close behind with 6 points (Entry + Scorer - Donaldson). Six of our 14 participants got more than a point out of their forecast.

RoyalPITA - 483 = 477 + 1 (Entry) + 5 (Scorer - Donaldson)
tidus_mi2 - 409 = 408 + 1 (Entry)
Owlish52 - 401 = 400 + 1 (Entry)
Gwent Royal - 397 = 394 + 1 (Entry) + 2 (Half-time Score)
Camb-Royal - 377 = 376 + 1 (Entry)
Clyde1998 - 355 = 354 + 1 (Entry)
mason1871rfc - 343 = 343 + 0
diab0 - 333 = 330 + 1 (Entry) + 2 (Half-time Score)
Tilehurstsouthbank - 321 = 320 + 1 (Entry)
Royal Crisp - 276 = 275 + 1 (Entry)
RoyalJoe - 262 = 259 + 1 (Entry) + 2 (Half-time Score)
Zip - 212 = 211 + 1 (Entry)
cribsie - 182 = 182 + 0
Darlington - 172 = 166 + 1 (Entry) + 5 (Scorer - Donaldson)
Foxxinator - 93 = 93 + 0
Bahamoth - 98 = 90 + 0
royalbiscuit - 60 = 60 + 0
royalwiki - 32 = 32 + 0
CavershamRoyal - 6 = 6 + 0
Halifordroyal - 1 = 0 + 1 (Entry)
Right Said Frank Sharp - 1 = 1 + 0
Batfloke - 1 = 1 + 0

"It could have been worse with Hillary..." - Owlish52
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Bahamoth

I'm getting good at this! ;)
(Sorry to pester you, Owlish! I was just excited cos I knew I'd done okay!) I hope things are okay!
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Gwent Royal
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Next year if you do it Owlish, can you put me down for whatever RP puts please!
:D
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Darlington
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2 games left and with a bit of luck i might just catch Crisbie. Think Zip is just a bit too.
In the end not bad considering I only started in December.
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daib0
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Darlington
24 Apr 2015, 08:52 AM
2 games left and with a bit of luck i might just catch Crisbie. Think Zip is just a bit too.
In the end not bad considering I only started in December.
+ 1 !!



And I need something big to catch up with Clyde in the 'play-offs' !! :D
Royals Rendezvous - a specialist and friendly Reading FC fan forum
Cello man... VIDEO https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yEVmGOEMJLE&t=12s Please share !
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Bahamoth

If we calculated a table based on the last 6 games, I'd be right up there! I've got the same amount of points as RoyalPita from these games.
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Darlington
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Would be good to see how many games we have all entered predictions for and then we can see an average score/game for this season. Be interesting to see who is highest average and so the most consistent predictor.
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Bahamoth

Yeah, because some people haven't consistently played (me) and done quite well (purely from dumb luck) in those few games played. It would be interested in seeing the average.
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Owlish52
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Darlington
24 Apr 2015, 11:01 AM
Would be good to see how many games we have all entered predictions for and then we can see an average score/game for this season. Be interesting to see who is highest average and so the most consistent predictor.
Ask and thou shall receive (at least this once):

Player Name
Average ScorePredictions made
RoyalPITA9.2952
Bahamoth8.75*12
tidus_mi28.1850
diab07.7443
Camb-Royal7.6949
Gwent Royal7.6352
Owlish527.5753
Clyde19987.1050
mason1871rfc6.7351
Darlington6.3727
Tilehurstsouthbank6.0653
Zip5.8936
Royal Crisp5.7548
RoyalJoe5.4648
cribsie4.5540


It is very important to note that these averages are strongly affected by performance in the Gold Games. For example, tidus_mi2 had a game max score of 50 points (~1/8th of his point total) in the Derby FA Cup match; Clyde1998 and mason1871rfc each had 40 points (~1/9th their totals) in that same match, but Darlington, RoyalPITA and Zip had only 2 points each in the same match. Of course, it's almost all luck here, and a bit of determination to get a guess in. I included Bahamoth, as while he has a low number of predictions, he has been active (and successful! :thumbsup: ) recently.

I tried to do some statistical analysis (an excellent way to lie with numbers, IMO) but every entrant had very high values for the standard deviation, which IMO confirms that this is a matter of luck and not skill or knowledge. I'd suggest a second data point to confirm that - I have done fairly well in the competition, and I'm likely the _least_ knowledgeable person :-/ about Championship football on the site! ;) :D :scarf:

*Adjusted to correct a scoring error.
Edited by Owlish52, 25 Apr 2015, 11:21 AM.
"It could have been worse with Hillary..." - Owlish52
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